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MBS Day Ahead: New Tariff Announcement Keeps Bonds In Recent Range

 · ”The bond market yield curve has inverted for the first time since 2007. The rate on short-term three-month-long US government bonds is higher than the rate on longer-term 10 year US government bonds. An inversion is seen as a powerful signal of recession.

A market week that began with a U.S./China trade "truce" ended with much stronger-than-expected (224k) June non-farm payrolls data. There were new intraweek record highs in equities and no let up.

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That means if long-term U.S. treasuries are down 1% on any given day, TMV should be ahead by 3%. If your investments have suffered a setback because of the recent correction in bonds, don’t panic. The prudent course of action is to reduce your exposure to the bond market and to immediately incorporate an adequate margin of safety within your.

With the exception of the percent change in the amount of bond purchases, the ECB has essentially copycatted. 1pm brings the conclusion of this week’s Treasury auction cycle with 7yr Notes. MBS.

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And then, on the last day of the month, President Donald Trump threatened to impose a new tariff on Mexican imports if Mexico didn’t reduce the flow of immigrants into the U.S. Although the job market remained strong-the unemployment rate fell to 3.6%, a new fivedecade low-weakness in other U.S. economic indicators contributed to the.

Gross MBS issuance increased 20% to $115 billion, and prepayment speeds increased 24% in April (most recent data). Non-agency residential MBS spreads were flat during May, while non-agency commercial MBS 17 returned 2.1%, outperforming like-duration Treasuries by 5 bps.

Posted To: MBS Commentary. The "big" news over the weekend was the announcement of an extension on US/China tariffs that were set to go into effect on March 1st. While an eventual trade deal would still be a big development for both sides of the market, the extension was only worth a modest in-range correction for bonds.

Bond. day weekends, it’s always good to keep in mind the caution that I’ve shared over the past few days (and in the first paragraph, to some extent) about "artificial ingredients." Specifically,